ANALISIS PERAMALAN PRODUKSI USAHA TANI LIDAH BUAYA (Aloe vera) DI KOTA PONTIANAK

Abstrak

Aloe vera is a prime product of local area especially the city of Pontianak in West Kalimantan. This product need to be maintained and to know the amount of next product it must be necessary to forecast. To find the prospect of aloe vera farm used Linear Regression (Regression) with analysis of Time Series. Forecasting value of the first harvest season in 2016 for the production amounted 2859.6978 tons, corrected predictive value is 2937.9391 tons. Forecasting value at the second harvest season is 2928.9916 tons, corrected predictive value 3092.2536 tons. Value forecasting the harvest season third is 2998.2854 tons corrected predictive value is 2894.0050 tons. forecasting the value of the fourth harvest season as much as 3067.5792 tons forecast corrected value is 3127.5810 tons. Based on the analysis of forecasting using Time Series analysis through the analysis of seasonal known aloe vera production in 2016 increased in the amount of 2580.9717 tons in the first harvest season. the second harvest season 2967.1956 tons, the third harvest season 2.512.8624 and 3126.3144 tons during the fourth harvest season.